Thursday, May 22, 2008

Yahoo's gameplan

I think this is an interesting twist in this saga. The YHOO BOD thought process may be as follows:
Sometime next week announce a deal with GOOG. The effect of this deal to the bottom-line will show up in the next YHOO earnings call in third week of July. If YHOO shows significant and promising improvement in both top-line and bottom-line, then it will be very hard for Icahn to win the proxy battle. The shareholder meeting would be in a few days after the earnings announcement.

This move implies that current YHOO board is determined to fight it out at the shareholders meeting. So the chances of any kind of deal with MSFT have gone down, unless MSFT pays up ~$35+, which is unlikely.

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